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It's the last weekend of the regular season, and I can't wait for the playoffs to get here.After running hot for 15 weeks, my last two have been dreadful.Because selecting games in the final week is so difficult with the varying motivations of some teams (and players) with nothing to play for, I am down to selecting a team full of backups in one matchup and the worst team in the league in another.But this is not the space for a bunch of excuses.I went 0-5 last week, which brings my season record to 51-37-2.ADVERTISEMENT Let's get back on track with my best bets for Week 18.(All times ET)Steelers @ Ravens (4:30 p.m. Saturday, ABC/ESPN) has looked fantastic two weeks in a De'Andre Hunter Jersey row, and now he finds himself as a *check notes* road favorite against the Ravens? That seems off.Yes, Baltimore is sitting all of their stars, and they have nothing to play for, so in a "must-win" spot, everyone is going to bet the Steelers. But historically, that hasnt been advantageous.FINAL PIT 17 BAL 10 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Pittsburgh Steelers PIT -3.0 -159 O 34 Baltimore Ravens BAL +3.0 +134 U 34 One trend worth mentioning: this series has always been close. When one team is favored by more than three points in this series, the underdog has gone 19-2 against the spread.Just remember how Danilo Gallinari Jersey hard the Ravens try in the preseason when the games dont matter at all.PICK: Ravens (+3.5) to lose by fewer than 3.5 points (or win outright)Ravens, 49ers favored for Super Bowl: best bets, odds and predictions Jaguars @ Titans (1 p.m. Sunday, CBS) still isnt 100%, and he may not even be able to play in this game.Sure, they were fine last week against the haple s , but this is a proud Titans team that has shown well at home (4-3, with two overtime lo ses and another in the final seconds to the two weeks ago).FINAL JAX 20 TEN 28 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Jacksonville Jaguars JAX -3.5 -182 O 41.5 Tenne see Titans TEN +3.5 +152 U 41.5 The way Mike Vrabel spoke to the media this week makes it seem as if a lot is at stake in this game for Tenne see, who face a very uncertain offseason all around the building.PICK Dominique Wilkins Jersey : Titans (+5.5) to lose by fewer than 5.5 points (or win outright)Should Baker Mayfield get an EXTENSION with Tampa Bay if Bucs make the playoffs? Buccaneers @ Panthers (1 p.m. Sunday, FOX and FOX Sports App)This line doesnt make much sense.Three weeks ago, the Panthers got a win in the rain at home against , then fought hard against , but laid a ma sive egg last week in a 26-0 lo s to the , who started .FINAL TB 9 CAR 0 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB -4.5 -244 O 36.5 Carolina Panthers CAR +4.5 +197 U 36.5 Last month, at home, Clint Capela Jersey Tampa was a 3.5-point favorite vs. the Panthers. Now, on the road, theyre laying even more?Neither team has swung that much in four weeks for the spread to move this drastically. If you trust the numbers, you have to take here.PICK: Panthers (+4.5) to lose by fewer than 4.5 points (or win outright)Dolphins host Bills in Week 18, winner clinches AFC East title Bills @ Dolphins (8:20 p.m. Sunday, NBC)A week after I backed the Dolphins, and they were humiliated by the Ravens, Im going back to Mike McDaniel here, this time at home.FINAL BUF 21 MIA 14 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Buffalo Bills BUF -2.5 -149 O 48 Miami Dolphins MIA +2.5 + Charlie Brown Jersey 126 U 48 The problem is that the Dolphins are extremely banged up at the worst po sible time. Their two best pa s rushers are out for the season, and their three best skill position players all mi sed practice Thursday.The Bills were undervalued in the market a month ago; now they almost seem overvalued.Every narrative here screams the Bills, but the line is heading to +2.5 as the weekend approaches.PICK: Dolphins (+3) to lose by fewer than 3 points (or win outright)Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst who also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. Before arriving at FOX Sports, he created the website The Big Lead. Follow him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.   |
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